Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 326.291630 371.530517 422.425445 484.247311 557.741755 642.852790 749.650053
2024-12-29 259.384902 317.508731 389.188814 485.356897 612.963815 779.327953 1017.470047
2025-01-05 218.749066 280.020919 360.071290 474.622906 638.260392 869.959666 1235.016605
2025-01-12 193.116070 256.112884 342.304124 472.325719 669.918740 970.357340 1486.076455
2025-01-19 167.594650 228.227709 314.125126 449.064882 664.326438 1010.893807 1649.487073
2025-01-26 158.888984 222.589456 316.288345 470.176355 729.340520 1174.765476 2066.872070
2025-02-02 153.197397 220.386507 322.787861 498.305316 810.009996 1382.011220 2630.875386
2025-02-09 142.576829 209.365269 314.013435 499.546985 843.428058 1509.427397 3073.869432
2025-02-16 130.743221 195.197394 298.483105 486.753826 848.353953 1581.424497 3416.536054
2025-02-23 121.019133 183.479728 285.690341 476.936410 856.939020 1662.225832 3809.531598
2025-03-02 116.186209 179.282656 285.055423 489.080872 911.041866 1854.095257 4572.199841
2025-03-09 110.009291 172.261616 278.750624 489.518683 940.667513 1996.913079 5261.495436
2025-03-16 102.584217 162.714325 267.419901 479.455927 947.558052 2091.001109 5863.897630
2025-03-23 97.374236 156.626558 261.829532 480.317388 979.574652 2259.226824 6815.349885
2025-03-30 91.202063 148.338264 251.370195 469.738828 982.914547 2351.603725 7549.604585
2025-04-06 86.648203 142.608959 245.208438 467.469701 1005.983641 2506.771251 8638.879115
2025-04-13 80.073649 132.744633 230.299286 444.504381 973.458095 2489.025251 8980.452491
2025-04-20 78.975379 132.901245 234.915873 465.347876 1057.767934 2859.542853 11425.615920
2025-04-27 78.576337 134.317291 242.136011 493.115248 1167.009479 3355.941398 15087.426474
2025-05-04 75.542893 130.469194 238.284266 494.340839 1202.348695 3608.752231 17660.074436
2025-05-11 71.450409 124.304251 229.139050 481.712865 1195.030732 3701.205052 19308.642608
2025-05-18 67.923256 119.041931 221.512262 472.021500 1195.048905 3824.353330 21360.173747
2025-05-25 66.500449 117.857218 222.472682 484.009942 1264.660177 4261.334932 26597.856918